Update 4/25/17

In the post I did on Saturday the 22nd (you can read it by clicking here) I discussed the frost or freeze that was impending on the high plains.  I don't know how much wheat was damaged as there were low lying areas that got into the mid/upper 20s on Sunday morning (23rd).  Many areas saw 30 to 34 degrees.   I also mentioned another cold shot slated between April 29 and May 3.  At this point, it looks like freezing temperatures for the high plains are likely, especially for the 30th and 1st.   Believe it or not even snow will be possible at the end of the weekend storm!  That is certainly not unheard of, but given the lack of snow this winter (except earlier this month across far southwest KS and the panhandles).

This afternoon satellite image showed a storm system (the red X) moving towards the high plains:

Boundary layer moisture was just enough that a cold rain (and some thunder) will be likely north of the front that went through Monday night.  The most likely area for 1/2 to 3/4 of an inch of rain will be across southeast Colorado, far southwest Kansas and the panhandles of OK/TX and into northwest OK.  The severe stuff will be far east of the high plains (southeast KS, NE OK and east).

Another system should arrive Thursday bringing additional chances for precipitation.  Then things get interesting.  IF the computer models are correct (and I think they will be to an extent), there should be a deeper and slower moving storm between Friday and Sunday.  There "should" be a prolonged period of precipitation across the high plains of KS/CO and south with snow the primary type across Colorado and far western Kansas during the weekend.  I would not be surprised to see "heavy" amounts too!  I also wouldn't be surprised to see the white stuff as far east as Dodge City.  However, details are highly uncertain at this time.  As the system moves away, minimum temperatures by Monday may be well into the 20s across eastern Colorado and far western KS.

Keep in mind this scenario is still a little iffy (due to the system has not developed and we're still 3 to 5 days out).

Here is the Weather Prediction Center's outlook for precipitation through next Monday.

I won't be able to update this blog until next week due to other obligations.  Stay tuned to local forecasts using weather.gov/