Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May is all over the place!

This past month has seen varying amounts of rainfall (and snow in some areas) which is certainly typical for the Great Plains.  However, the same areas that have been hardest hit from the drought seem to be missing out on many of the opportunities, but yet there was one widespread rainfall event the last week of April that blessed a large part of southwest Kansas.  Look at precipitation this past month....

The colder than normal conditions and precipitation had been expected as I laid out months in advance. Based on the pattern that set up in the fall and timing the harmonics of the wavelength of the pattern, I have identified the most likely periods of opportunity for rainfall going into June.  Of course, it doesn't mean that it will rain everywhere on a given day or period, it is just the time of increased opportunity that the atmosphere may respond with more rainfall.  A sample graph for June is below.  For folks that have subscribed to my outlook reports I will advance this into July and August as well and include periods of when I expect the most heat to be.

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