In the previous post I did on the 29th (click here to read it), the final period of opportunity first identified in the June 14th post was August 3-7 Below normal temps and above normal rainfall. The period prior was for July 25-28 and I was off a few days on that, so naturally the August 3-7 would be off a few days too. Although there was cooling from the 105 degree weather, the average temperature was closer to normal and slightly below starting on the 8th but it will be brief. Rainfall was there (so above normal for some, but not all) that started on the 5th. Here is the rainfall for late August 5th through yesterday the 8th.
There was definately a shift farther west and north this time around. The upper level dome of high heights has shifted just far enough west that most of Kansas and Oklahoma will lose almost all opportunity for rainfall for at least a week, if not more. If fact, in my analysis that I've been using to pick out periods of opportunity, the next date(s) will be centered on August 18, for just a few days. If you miss out on that, then the final opportunity for August should be towards the end of the month. In between - hot and dry.
Here is the rainfall outlook from the Weather Prediction Center through next Tuesday...
The weather pattern that was established last fall will be fading away this next month as we go into September. Weather events by September will still be influenced by the same pattern. But as the westerlies (upper level winds) begin to strengthen again across the Northern Hemisphere, we'll start to see a shift as October approaches (a combination of old and new influences). In my analysis, I do see a possibility of a decent front centered around September 6 and maybe that could bring some rain that would be key for fall planting later in the month.
No comments:
Post a Comment