This past 7 days have been pretty wet for many areas! Here is a map of estimated rainfall for this past week ending this morning (7/30)....(click for larger version)
The latest drought monitor does NOT include this precipitation so the map that comes out this Thursday will look different for much of Kansas. But as of last Thursday, this is what it had...
Looking at this late mornings satellite image....
The upper ridge has retrograded (moved west) and has amplified which will allow the weak system moving south through northeast Kansas to carve out a trough in the east. Flow across the high plains will be north to south which will essentially shut off the rain for a while. But, it will also allow pretty chilly temperatures tonight and Tuesday. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple of record low temperatures Tuesday morning.
The pattern will return to a typical summer flow regime for at least the first 10 days of August. Wet soils across much of Nebraska, eastern Colorado and Kansas will moderate day time temperatures though. Readings by the end of the week will be in the low to maybe mid 90s but I don't see the scorching temperatures. There might be a few around 100 by the 10th or so.
As far as rainfall, for much of the high plains there will be none to very little through the middle part of August. I suppose there could be a surprise in there for a day or two, but in general I don't see much so it will be drying out. The return of the North American Monsoon will bring more rains to the Rockies and adjacent eastern plains. Here is the latest outlook from the Weather Prediction Center....
By mid-month, I suspect there might be at least a brief change back to better chances across the high plains, but more on that in the next post.
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