In the previous post I did six days ago on the 17th (you can read it by clicking here) I discussed the trend of storms that had been moving too far north to benefit the high plains with any precipitation. I discussed that a weather system would move through on the 23rd-24th and that it would be very energetic and at this point that is spot on! BUT, I also said it looked like it would be too far north again. Well, maybe not for some of us. It's also slower so that has allowed gulf moisture to return which might help with one round of scattered precipitation before the main system arrives.
Here is the latest satellite image showing that system.
The red X over northwest Arizona is the upper part of the storm. It should be moving across Kansas on Friday. Before that arrives, a dryline may ignite with thunderstorms this Thursday evening and move east before weakening after midnight. Some areas of southwest Kansas and the OK/TX panhandle will get a 1/4 to 1/2 of an inch of quick rain. BUT, unfortunately, there will be areas that get missed!
The surface part of the approaching storm will move across Kansas on Friday and will be a wind maker, especially behind it. Precipitation will be widely scattered but not everyone will get any, unfortunately. The exception will be eastern Colorado and northwest Kansas where a good amount (over an inch) will fall, and some will be snow too!
In the previous blog post I also said there were "hints" of additional opportunities for more systems into early April. Indeed there are and those show up in the western view on the satellite image.
The opportunities will occur late in the weekend and then again once or twice during next week. Those tracks will be important and it's really not a slam dunk on precipitation. BUT, it is looking optimistic.
Here is the potential precipitation amounts from today (Thursday) into early Thursday of next week.
I'll shoot for an update late in the weekend.
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