Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Update 4/20/16

Read the previous post I did on the 15th here.  As advertised, the "bowling ball" brought copious amounts of rain to much of the plains, BUT as advertised there will still some that did not get the heavier rains.  In fact, some locations got only 1/4 to 1/2 of an inch!  Here is a map of estimated precipitation over the past 7 days...(click for a bigger version)

 

What is striking is the amount of rain that fell near Elkhart in the extreme southwest corner of Kansas.  One observer has had almost 8 inches!  That is over half of what normally falls in an entire year!

But also on the map, you will see the areas that generally missed out, especially across parts of the southern plains and also around the eastern Oklahoma Panhandle.  There will be additional showers and storms later today and into Thursday (20th - 21st) that may catch a few of those spots.

Looking at the satellite image from late morning....



There is still an MJO impacting the flow in the jetstream across the higher latitudes.  There is a strong system across the northern Pacific that should impact the plains by the end of the weekend and first of the week.  Unfortunately the setup by then may be conducive to severe weather (and additional precipitation).  Due to time constraints I cannot go into much detail.  But here is the possible precipitation during the next 7 days courtesy of the Weather Prediction Center.



 
I may have an opportunity to update this blog by next Monday or Tuesday.

No comments:

Post a Comment