In the post I did on the 1st, I had briefly mentioned that there was some hint of a small system towards the end of this week. Looking at the Wednesday afternoon satellite image...
There was a fairly strong upper level system approaching the Pacific Northwest coast. This system will drop southeast towards the central plains late Thursday and Friday. However, it will also be undergoing a weakening trend and once it gets to the central plains it will encounter dry boundary layer air. Yet, there should still be precipitation, albeit very light and scattered in nature.
There was a second system on the satellite image (X2) located south of the Aleutian Islands. It too will approach the central plains, about Sunday. But just like it's predecessor, it will be weakening and encountering more dry air. It may bring a bit of cloud cover and maybe a small bit of insignificant precipitation.
The pattern then transitions into a cold one, at least for the eastern part of the country. A large shot of Arctic air will invade the midwest and east by Tuesday of next week. It will be struggle for the cold air to get too far west, but sometimes shallow Arctic air can overcome a lot of obstacles and make it deep into the Plains. But, far eastern Kansas should feel the impacts, at least for a couple of days. I would not be surprised to see 10 to 15 below zero minimum temperatures for areas like St. Joe Missouri.
By late next week (11th - 13th), the pattern should be setting up to allow additional opportunities for significant weather across the plains. I would guess sometime around the 16th, give or take a couple of days, would be the time for an impacting storm. I'll be watching the pattern and update on that later next week. The last 7 to 10 days of February should be unsettled. Looking even further, the second week of March could potentially be wet and cold, i.e., not a good time for calving.
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