Update - May 5, 2015

In the post I did on Saturday the 2nd, I mentioned that the pattern would be getting active.  Yesterday (Monday) there were numerous thunderstorms stretching from southeast New Mexico and southwest Texas all the way to Nebraska and Iowa.  The was spotty hail reports and a couple of brief tornadoes.  The biggest event was local flooding.  Some areas received copious amounts of rain and unfortunately soil eroding flooding.  The following map shows the precipitation for the high plains and other parts of the adjacent plains.  Click for a large version...

 

The upper level storm partly responsible for the active weather was still over northwest New Mexico this Tuesday afternoon.  Additional rounds of weather will continue into Wednesday from this system.

Unfortunately, the threat of severe weather from this low will be increasing, especially on Wednesday.

Back to the satellite image, there is another dip in the jet stream developing across the far northwest part of the country. It looks like this may dig southeast and bring another threat of severe weather and lots of precipitation later in the week and into the weekend.

The Weather Prediction Center offers the following possibility (forecast) for the next 7 days.

Overall the pattern is pointing to above normal rainfall for this month and even for June.  With the rainfall that has been occurring across west Texas, and with additional rain possible, the chance for seeing day after day of 100+ temperatures for this summer is decreasing.

I'll discuss the outlook later this week - and after the latest drought map is released (which we should see a vastly improved map).