Monday, May 11, 2015

Update 5/11/15

In the post I did on the 5th (click here) I discussed several items that have panned out so far.  Go back and review that post.

I discussed the active severe weather that was expected.  During the past 7 days (5/4 - 5/10) there have been numerous tornadoes, a lot of hail, a lot of wind and in some spots copious amounts of rainfall.  There was even very heavy snow across the northern high plains.  Rapid City received nearly 14 inches of snow over the weekend.  There was even blizzard conditions at some locations in the Nebraska Panhandle.

As far as severe weather reports during the period, there have been 153 tornado reports and 333 reports of large hail.  A map of the plot follows (click for a larger version)....


Precipitation has also been excessive but still there are a few spots that have been missing out. The following is the estimated precipitation during the past 7 days ending this morning (5/11)...Click for a larger version...


This week and into the weekend the atmosphere will "reload" with additional episodes of severe weather expected, especially later in the week and into the weekend.  As heavy rain events continue to unfold, I'm afraid that there will end up being extremely serious flooding across north Texas and much of Oklahoma.  Even across parts of Kansas and Colorado there may eventually be flooding issues (there already has been some across the front range of Colorado).  

Also, at this point, the overall wet pattern may persist into June.  As I stated in the previous post on the 5th, the number of 100 degree days (or excessive blow torch days) will be much less this summer.



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