Sunday, April 26, 2015

Update 4/26/15

Just a quick update....

The system that went through on Friday afternoon and evening brought some spotty heavy rain but for the most part a large chunk of the area missed out on significant rainfall.  This seems to have been a theme lately.  The following map is 24 hour rainfall ending Saturday morning.  Click for a large version.


 
As expected, a strong upper low has intensified over southern New Mexico.  In most cases, this position for this time of year would bring widespread rain and thunderstorms to the central and southern plains.  However, this time it appears that numerous storms developing across northwest Texas will force the heavy rains to the south (due to latent heat releases).  As a result, much of Kansas and Nebraska will miss out entirely!  The northern gradient of precipitation will be very tight.  In other words, there will be a huge different in amounts as you go south to north.

The current satellite image...

  
The expected rainfall will certainly help the Texas panhandle into western Oklahoma and north Texas with improving the drought conditions.

  Beyond this system that should be moving out on Monday, it  appears that it will get warm and dry towards the middle part of the week and this will extend into next weekend.    This will NOT be good news for those that have missed out on the precipitation so far this spring.  However, it does appear that we'll be heading into a wetter regime in 7 to 10 days.

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