On Wednesday (8th) I posted a map from the National Weather Service for expected low temperatures that was valid for this morning. Unfortunately in that agency they have been gradually moving away from true forecasting (beyond the first 24 hours) to more of a collaborative effort with neighboring forecast offices. The intent was to make images that appear seamless between offices. Many of the forecasters now just load model data and blend the results. So, because of that philosophy, the 48 hour forecast for this morning, in my opinion, was a HUGE bust! Go back on that post and compare the NWS forecast map to what actually happened this morning. (click for a large version of the map).
There was an AG report that was issued by Kansas State about the amount of damage that was done to wheat with the cold that occurred on the 3rd and 4th. Based on that report, I would suspect that the widespread cold this morning caused further damage to the wheat. I guess time will tell though.
Also, as I mentioned in the blog post on the 8th, this will not be the last cold of the spring. But at least growth should slow down a bit as we go through an overall cooling trend.
I hope to provide an update around next Wednesday.
No comments:
Post a Comment